Showing posts with label boris johnson. Show all posts
Showing posts with label boris johnson. Show all posts

Thursday, June 16, 2022

An awful policy and an awful Prime Minister

This video describes an awful policy being implemented by an awful Prime Minister: Why has Rwanda agreed to receive unwanted asylum seekers? Inside Story/Aljazeera English 06/14/2022.


I do want to mention that from my knowledge of the EU-Turkey refugee agreement of 2016, despite its real problems and limitations, is not meaningfully comparable to this disgusting Britain-Rwanda deal, which is suggested at one point in the video. (On the EU-Turkey agreement, see: Ozan Serdaroglu, The Turkey-EU migration agreement was effective. No longer Middle East Eye 04/30/2022.

UK’s bid to export some refugees to Rwanda, ‘all wrong’, says UN refugee chief UN News 06/13/2022

Boris Johnson and the British Conservative Party now seem to be firmly in the "radicalized conservative" category. And getting worse: George Parker et al, Boris Johnson pushes ahead with UK law to rip up N Ireland protocol Financial Times 06/13/2022.

For a couple of further references on Johnson's radicalism, see: Dan Sabbagh, Cultivating conspiracy: how Boris Johnson amplified the far right Guardian 02/08/2022; Tom McTague, What Is the Point of Boris Johnson? The Atlantic 12/10/2021.

Tuesday, February 11, 2020

Boris Johnson and the road to "illiberal democracy"

There's a difference between revolution and revolutionary methods. Sociologists and political scientists can come up with more-or-less well-delineated definitions to clearly distinguish them. For most people, the distinction is about as vague as it is irrelevant.

Britannica Online provides a useful general definition of the concept as it evolved since antiquity (Revolution, 2019), including references to these modern theories of revolution:
The 16th-century Italian writer Niccolò Machiavelli recognized the importance of creating a state that could endure the threat of revolution; but, at the same time, his detailed analysis of power led to a new belief in the necessity of changes in the structure of government on certain occasions. This new acceptance of change placed Machiavelli at the forefront of modern revolutionary thought, even though he never used the word revolution in his texts, and he was primarily concerned with the creation of a truly stable state.

The 17th-century English writer John Milton was an early believer in revolution’s inherent ability to help a society realize its potential. He also saw revolution as the right of society to defend itself against abusive tyrants, creating a new order that reflected the needs of the people. To Milton, revolution was the means of accomplishing freedom. Later, in the 18th century, the French, Haitian, and American revolutions were attempts to secure freedom from oppressive leadership. Modern revolutions have frequently incorporated utopian ideals as a basis for change. [my emphasis]
The Britannica editors also give credit to Immanuel Kant, who "believed that revolution was a 'natural' step in the realization of a higher ethical foundation for society," noting that the Kantian "idea helped serve as a basis for the American and French revolutions." Although in the former, more people got it directly from Thomas Paine rather than from Kant.

They even give credit to Hegel as "a crucial catalyst in the formation of 20th-century revolutionary thought" who "saw revolutions as the fulfillment of human destiny, and he saw revolutionary leaders as those necessary to instigate and implement reforms." A new biography of Hegel by Klaus Vieweg that emphasizes Hegel's republican thought rooted in the French Revolution, as suggested by its subtitle, Hegel: Der Philosoph der Freiheit [Hegel: The Philosopher of Freedom] (2919). Hegel, like Thomas Jefferson, was deeply engaged with the political ideals of the French Revolution and supportive of them, while of course keeping a critical view of its actual outcomes. Paine himself was an elected deputy to the French Revolutionary National Convention, though his service was interrupted for a year when he was imprisoned for his criticism of the Terror.

In the United States for the last 40 years, Republicans have tended to be more comfortable than Democrats with using "revolution" to describe their goals, e.g., the Reagan Revolution, the Gingrich Revolution. Although Bernie Sanders' use of "political revolution" currently has Republicans, corporate Democrats, and poor babbling Chris Matthews reverting to a more classical conservative view of at least feigning horror over the very notion.

But in our current, much-discussed trend in the world of rising authoritarianism, including in the US, Europe, Latin America, and India, some governments and parties are using and advocating methods that the Founding Father of modern reactionary thought, Edmund Burke, might have regarded as French Jacobin approaches.

The authoritarian, "illiberal democracy" that Viktor Orbán established after winning the Hungarian Presidency in 2010, he moved rapidly to build the current version of government in Hungary, using extreme gerrymandering, wide-ranging control of the press with help from allied oligarchs, politicized institutions of justice, without resorting to tactics like jailing or murdering journalists. Elections are still nominally free and competitive and people aren't arrested for political reasons. But the system is sufficiently rigged that Orbán's party can retain control without winning a majority in elections.

Peter Oborne has a thought-provoking take on Britain's Trumpish Prime Minister which is a reminder that there are various potential models for those seeking to get rid of democracy (Boris Johnson as a revolutionary figure, Boris Johnson is leading a revolution, and this time it's coming from the right Middle East Eye 02/08/2020:
Most of us were taught in college to think that revolutionary movements come from the left. It seemed to make sense: Robespierre, Marx, Lenin, Che Guevara, Mao. It may be time to reconsider. Johnson is leading a revolution, and this time it's coming from the right.

He's either forgotten, does not know, or most likely does not care that the Conservative Party came into existence in the wake of the French Revolution as a defender of great institutions - monarchy, parliament, rule of law, the church - against abstraction, ideology and political violence.

This means that Johnson repudiates the doctrines of every Conservative leader from the Duke of Wellington onwards. Johnson's hostility to institutions is so striking that I don't believe he can be viewed as a Conservative in the way the term has been understood over the last two centuries.

The party he leads has detached from its moorings, while Johnson himself should be understood as part of a group of populist leaders that includes Donald Trump, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and most relevantly Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban. [my emphasis]
He cites various examples of Johnson's authoritarian bent, including trying to politicize the courts, attacked and restricted journalists Trump-style, and a five-week shutdown of Parliament last fall that the British Supreme Court ruled illegal.

Oborne also calls attention to the often-mentioned charismatic leader in building an authoritarian political order. He cites an article by New Statesman international editor Jeremy Cliffe (Central Europe’s authoritarians show where an unleashed Boris Johnson could lead Britain 12/18/2019) on authoritarianism in the Visegrad nations - Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia. Cliff sees Boris Johnson as having just followed an "electoral narrative of 'people versus politicians' requiring rescue by a muscular father-of-the-nation type" that "is straight out of the Visegrad playbook."

But I try to be cautious about the notion a single charismatic leader as a ncessary element of authoritarian rule. All movements, including democratic ones, need leadership. Conventional wisdom often equates populism with authoritarianism and rightwing politics. I take a more restrictive view of populism as a way of doing politics that pose an antagonism between "the elite" and "the people." There are left and democratic versions of populism. And charismatic leadership does not equate to authoritarian or antidemocratic political goals.

But the institutional moves toward dismantling democracy and the rule of law need to be taken very seriously. And in the United States, the Democrats need to take "revolutionary" actions by the Republicans as the sign of asymmetric polarization that need to be countered within the rule of law. But they need to give up the fantasy that they can be countered with covering and "bipartisan" platitudes.

Saturday, December 14, 2019

Labour's loss this week

There will be a lot of analysis of Thursday's British election and varying and conflicting lessons drawn from it.

Here are two different perspectives from The Independent:

General election result: Nearly twice as many Labour voters defected over Jeremy Corbyn's leadership than party's Brexit stance, poll finds 12/13/2018

Jon Stone, General election: How Labour really lost seats in Leave-voting areas 12/13/2019:
... the story [of the election outcome] is one of a Tory surge, often sustained from an initial one in 2017, rather than a complete Labour collapse of anything other than extra voters gained in 2017 [compared to their votes in 2015]. In some cases, the Labour share is marginally lower than the historic average since 1997, but this is not a defining factor: in most places it is more or less the same. What’s changed is the Tories are well up.

If we look at the overall vote shares of the parties, this is actually fairly obvious. Labour seems to be heading for around 33 per cent of the vote ... not far down on what it won in 2005 when it won a majority (35 per cent) and better than it won in 2010 and 2015, but lower than 2017. But Boris Johnson’s Tories appear to be on course for a historically huge share of the vote.

There are some implications of this. One is that the idea that voters have somehow historically “abandoned Labour” in its traditional heartlands ... any more than they did in 2005, 2010, or 2015 –is not really correct. Rather, in most cases, a temporary boost that Jeremy Corbyn won in 2017 has unwound. More research will be needed to understand better why this happened in 2019 compared to 2017 – it may have been that negative stories about Jeremy Corbyn stuck more. But the fact that these losses are overwhelmingly in Leave areas, while Remain areas stood firm or even were added to Labour’s collection, suggests there is some kind of Brexit connection. Labour went into the election promising another referendum and the Tories hammered home the message that the party wanted to “block Brexit”. [my emphasis]

The exit polls indicating more Labour defectors citing Corbyn's leadership as a more important factor than the voting statistics Stone cites aren't necessarily incompatabile explanations. Given the Leave-related voting patterns, it's safe to assume that Leavers also had a low opinion of Jeremy Corbyn.

Labour voters were divided over Brexit in a way the Tory base was not. If Labour straight-up endorsed Leave, they had to worry about losing Remain voters. So they adopted a Mugwump position that they would hold another election on Brexit. And the result was that they notably bled Leave voters in some traditionally Labour districts. While the Tories got a large turnout with their pro-Brexit, nationalist position.

We can always fault the losing party for being insufficiently persuasive. Austrian political commentator Natascha Strobl had some impassioned thoughts in a German-language tweet thread in which she argues that Labour scattered its election pitch across a variety of themes, while the Tories pounded on the Brexit issue. But it's hard to see how Labour could have threaded the Brexit needle more successfully. (Or, in the case corporate Demcorats in America, blame on the Russians and whatever left-leaning politician they a re irritated about at the moment.)

And in America, the usual suspects were drawing the usual lessons:
To me, this vote was an even more substantial endorsement of Brexit than the original referendum, which was non-binding and was a perfect vehicle for an "I'm feeling grumpy" protest vote. This one gives a clear parliamentary majority to a party that made immediate Brexit its central issue in the campaign.

That doesn't mean that Johnson's government can actually get Brexit accomplished. Actually leaving the EU without serious economic disruptions and internal consequences (Northern Ireland, Scotland) requires some serious political leadership, "serious" not being the first quality that comes to mind with Boris Johnson. Also, to get substantial beneficial concessions from the EU, the British Prime Minister would have to be willing to go down to the wire with the threat of a hard Brexit. Johnson hasn't yet shown he has the stomach for that.