Wednesday, October 22, 2025

How is Netanyahu doing on ending the Everlasting Peace Plan?

Gideon Levy discusses developments with the, shall we say, shaky ceasefire in Gaza, the first event on the ground in Peace President Trump’s Everlasting Peace Plan that went in to effect October 10. (1)



Yair Golan of the small centrist Israeli party, The Democrats, is the formal Leader of the Opposition in the Knesset. In an editorial, he asserts that Bengamin Netanyahu is currently working to keep Hamas as the primary Palestinian force in Gaza, which he has done in the past, as well. (2)

Mouin Rabbani gives his take in this October 19 report, suggesting that Peace President Trump may be threatening Hamas with civil war in Gaza. (3)



He doesn’t provide a lot of details here. But such a conflict would presumably involve Hamas fighting against non-Hamas gangs in Gaza – some of which Israel had also been subsidizing to stage attacks on foods supplies coming into Gaza.

Everlasting Peace certainly seems to be off to a rocky start!

Majed Abbusalama at Middle East Eye reminds us what has happened in previous episodes of Eternal Peace there:
It is a rare joy to witness the happiness of my family, friends and neighbours in Gaza - many of whom have lost more than 10kg of body weight and aged prematurely over the past two years of genocide. I pray that the drones and warplanes will finally leave our skies, and that this ceasefire will hold, even in these times of deep mistrust.

It is a joy to see the smiles of relief. But I must remind you - and the world - that Israel has a habit of breaking ceasefires. Once global attention shifts, it resumes its slow genocide. Its political strategy is to exploit the passage of time to expand its colonial project, approving fake ceasefires to distract international solidarity, calm global uprisings, depoliticise trade unions and weaken political organising. [my emphasis] (4)

But former British Prime Minister Tony Blair just got a word of support from Egypt in his nomination to be the new colonial viceroy of Gaza. So there’s that! “Blair’s record in the Middle East is controversial, to say the least, and the suggestion floated by Washington that he help run a post-war Gaza has been met with suspicion and even disgust in much of the Arab world.” (5)

Notes:

(1) US won’t allow Netanyahu 'to sabotage’ Gaza truce agreement: Gideon Levy. Al Jazeera English YouTube channel 10/21/2025. (Accessed: 2025-21-10).

(2) Golan, Yair (2025): Once Again, Netanyahu Chooses Hamas Over Israel's Security. Haaretz 10/19/2025. https://www.haaretz.com/opinion/2025-10-19/ty-article-opinion/.premium/once-again-netanyahu-chooses-hamas-over-israels-security/00000199-f886-d72d-addd-f997e8610000 (Accessed: 2025-21-10).

(3) US may be indirectly threatening Palestinians with civil war: Analysis. Al Jazeera English YouTube channel 10/19/2025. (Accessed: 2025-21-10).

(4) Abusalama, Majed (2025): Gaza ceasefire: The world must ensure Israel does not resume a slow genocide. Middle East Eye 10/18/2025. (Accessed: 2025-21-10).

(5) Egypt backs Tony Blair to oversee Gaza as ‘modern-day high commissioner’. Middle East Eye 10/21/2025. (Accessed: 2025-21-10).

Tuesday, October 21, 2025

How is the Everlasting Peace Plan for Israel-Palestine going?

Peace President Trump earlier this month was saying of his famous 20-point peace plan, ““I think it’s going to be a lasting peace, hopefully an everlasting peace.” (1)

This calls to mind the line in Jazmine Sullivan’s breakup song: “Forever doesn’t last too long.” (2)

Democracy Now! interviews Haaretz columnist Amira Hass on the shaky nature of the current ceasefire. (3)


It includes a discussion of a grim recent report finding that 83% of the Israeli public supports expelling the Palestinians from Gaza. Hass calls particular attention to the growing aggression of Israeli settlers against West Bank Palestinians.

How any of what we know and have experienced so far adds up to “an everlasting peace” is beyond my meager understanding.

Moulin Rabbani discusses the fragility of the current agreement: (4)


It took the “Oslo Process” from 1995 to 2000 to break down. Trump’s Everlasting Peace plan might sputter along until the end of this year or so. That is, to the extent that any substantive agreement s beyond the immediate ceasefire (which Israel has already been violating) and the hostage returns. The prospects for the Everlasting Peace Plan (5) do not look good at the moment.

Meanwhile, another Haaretz columnist, Gideon Levy, also doesn’t seem to be very positive on the Everlasting Peace Plan. (6)


Levy also discusses the basically symbolic nature of countries simply formally recognizing a Palestinian state. Jonathan Shamir on October 6, just before the formal date of the Everlasting Peace Plan, also cautions about taking such formal diplomatic maneuvers as being more substantive than they actually are:
State recognition … has never been the core demand of the movement for Palestinian liberation. In fact, in response to the consensus that Israel is carrying out a genocide in Gaza, Palestinians and those amplifying their message have made a uniform call for an immediate ceasefire, a halt in weapons aid and sales to Israel, and the imposition of sanctions. Absent these concrete measures, critics have argued that recognition is little more than a trick—a sleight-of-hand meant to placate restive Western publics while perpetuating the same conditions that enabled a genocide against the Palestinian people in the first place. Macron, who co-convened the recent UN summit with Saudi Arabia, exemplified this deceptive approach. From the dais in the assembly hall in New York, he recognized Palestine while omitting any mention of cutting off French arms sales to Israel, which have continued unchecked since October 7th. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, similarly, recognized a Palestinian state while leading a government that continues to use workarounds to evade its own partial ban on sending weapons to Israel. Starmer has also met senior Israeli officials on British soil as recently as September 10th, and has led a massive crackdown on solidarity activism by designating the direct action group Palestine Action as a terror organization and arresting hundreds of peaceful protesters. Three of the other countries that recently recognized Palestine—Australia, Canada, and Luxembourg—likewise continue to sell weapons to Israel and refuse to sanction it. [my emphasis in bold] (7)

Notes:

(1) Tait, Robert (2025): Trump dreams of ‘everlasting peace’ as acolytes drop heavy hints to Nobel committee. Guardian 10/09/2025. <https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/oct/09/trump-nobel-peace-prize-gaza> (Accessed: 2025-09-10).

(2) Sullivan, Jazmine (2015 [?]): Forever Don’t Last. Spotify n/d. <https://open.spotify.com/track/5ILoNug82Z8g4qUfpr5GXE> (Accessed: 2025-09-10).

(3) “Israeli Sadism in a Nutshell”: Amira Hass on Israeli Prisons, Settler Violence & Gaza Ceasefire. Democracy Now! YouTube channel 10/17/2025. <https://youtu.be/9-Y2qEow5zo?si=28EsnLwIGXXkvAiD> Also with full text at: <https://www.democracynow.org/2025/10/17/amira_hass> (Accessed: 2025-09-10).

(4) Will Gaza Cease Fire Hold? The Majority Report YouTube channel 10/18/2025. <https://youtu.be/XSSA57YFz-g?si=7Dk3I6kHqf9JxQZv> (Accessed: 2025-09-10).

(5) Magdy, Samy et al (2025): Israel and Hamas agree to part of Trump's Gaza peace plan, will free hostages and prisoners. AP/Britannica 10/09/2025. <https://www.britannica.com/news/616563/ac80d3ed50ff2a9b4106ab5e13156651> (Accessed: 2025-09-10).

(6) Gideon Levy: an Israeli journalist standing up for Gaza. Frontline YouTube channel 10/17/2025. <https://youtu.be/hha6eL5-pbU?si=UvPUxoU6K_QFqoEu> (Accessed: 2025-09-10).

(7) Shamit, Jonathan (2025): The Recognition Trick. Jewish Currents 10/06/2025. <https://jewishcurrents.org/the-recognition-trick> (Accessed: 2025-09-10).

Sunday, October 19, 2025

The American democracy protests on October 18

The nationwide and international No Kings protests yesterday were impressivc, bringing literally millions of people out to protest against the Trump 2.0 regime’s creeping fascism.

The parallel No Tyrants event in Vienna sponsored by Democrats Abroad was also impressive. Even a few Portland Frogs showed up!


The labor movement was a key partner in mobilizing demonstrators for the No Kings events, which was sponsored nationally by the activist group Indivisible. Indivisible’s website estimated the turnout at seven million protesters.

BBC News reports:
Huge crowds took part in "No Kings" protests against President Donald Trump's policies in cities across the US on Saturday, including New York, Washington DC, Chicago, Miami and Los Angeles.

Thousands packed New York City's iconic Times Square and streets all around, with people holding signs with slogans like "Democracy not Monarchy" and "The Constitution is not optional".

Ahead of the demonstrations, Trump allies accused the protesters of being linked with the far-left Antifa movement, and condemned what they called "the hate America rally".

Several US states had mobilised the National Guard. But organisers said the events, which drew nearly seven million people, were peaceful. (1)
I heard a couple commentators on a Daily Beast podcast grumbling that multiple protests are less interesting than one big protest in Washington. But I’m inclined to think that the multiple nationwide protests that we’ve had this year on the two No Kings days if more politically effective at mobilizing voters to the pro-democracy cause than a single march in the national capital.

Also, organizing One Big Protest in the capital city is easier in a smaller country like Serbia or Hungary than it is in larger ones for the obvious reason that it’s much more of a challenge to go to Washington D.C. from California or Texas or Oklahoma City that it is from Richmond or Baltimore. Also, the larger the crowd, the more of a challenge that traffic and lodging become.

It's also important that protests generate interest in “red” (Republican-dominated) areas and give people there an opportunity to get together and get to know each other and – very importantly – to see that that many of their neighbors even in rural areas and small towns are as concerned as they are about crackpot policies and about brutal attacks on their immigrant neighbors by ICE goons and having a President how can’t even maintain the decorum of a five-year-old.

The Republicans have a distinct advantage in organizing and messaging in more rural states, not least because they have a network of conservative evangelical churches that do effective get-out-the-vote drives. Labor unions are still the backbone of the local get-out-the-vote drives for Democrats. But union membership has decreased drastically over the last 50 years. And the national Democratic Party has been just shamefully lazy about developing and maintaining state party organizations in more conservative parts of the country.

Laura Rozen has a good summary of views on the value of grassroots mobilization of the No Kings sort. She quotes the president of the International Center on Nonviolent Conflict from a recent podcast:
In a stable democracy, you would expect that public opinion would be a guardrail on this kind of overreach; that if the public didn’t approve that, that would stop it. And again, that was a fairly stable assumption for recent decades, at least on some issues.

In a backsliding democracy, though, it’s really public mobilization. That’s the guardrail. And mobilization shows intensity, right? And it also has the capacity to impose costs. And the costs don’t just need to be imposed on the administration. They can be imposed on enablers of the administration…

So you start looking comprehensively, not just at the government, but the enablers. Those who are contracting with the government, those who are serving into it. What is the ecosystem that is supporting a tax on democracy?

There’s no one tactic that’s necessarily going turn things around. It’s going to be a lot of different people getting involved. It’s a huge country. Every state has their own political scene. So there might be heavily like very-localized responses in some cases. And then there might be cases like with [comedian Jimmy] Kimmel, where you actually can get a national scale response. [my emphasis] (2)
Notes:

(1) Goodwin, Grace Eliza & Wilson, Caitlin (2025): Millions turned out for anti-Trump 'No Kings' protests across US. BBC News 10/19/2025. <https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c93xgyp1zv4o> (Accessed: 2025-19-10).

(2) Rozen, Laura (2025): In backsliding democracy, ‘public mobilization is the guardrail’. Diplomatic 10/17/2025. <https://diplomatic.substack.com/p/in-backsliding-democracy-public-mobilization> (Accessed: 2025-19-10).

Thursday, October 16, 2025

Trumpism and antifa/anti-fascism: “Conservatism” as fan fiction

The Independent recently characterized the Trump 2.0 Administration‘s designation of a concept, “antifa” (anti-fascism), to be a terrorist movement as follows.
Research shows that genuine political violence remains overwhelmingly driven by far-right actors, not nebulous “Antifa” networks. But this, truly, is where MAGA has arrived: a place so far removed from observable reality that it now holds official government functions with imaginary enemies. Once, conservatism prided itself on being “the party of realism.” Today’s version treats politics as fan fiction, complete with invented villains and lore.

Such productive unreality takes the energy that could be spent on governing or solving problems and redirects it into myth-making. Instead of talking about wages, housing or climate disasters, we’ll talk about black-clad anarchists who can’t be fact-checked because they’re mostly imaginary. And then we’ll use their apparent existence to justify masked men with rifles into cities that, it just so happens, didn’t vote for us. You could almost admire the absurdity if it weren’t attached to actual state power. [my emphasis] (1)
Sam Seder and the Majority Report crew recently discussed the Trump 2.0 regime’s scam about “antifa”: (2)


Miles Kenny defines the general concept of “antifa” for the consistently sober Britannica this way:
The roots of antifa are generally traced to the interwar period and specifically to resistance movements provoked by the rise of fascism in Italy and Germany. In the interwar period, fascist movements emerged throughout Europe and were usually met in each country by a corresponding antifascist movement. Fascism eventually succeeded, through politics or military conquest, in seizing power over most of western Europe before and during World War II, and partisan resistance movements fought throughout the continent with varied levels of success. Following the war and the defeat of overt fascism, the memory of these partisans inspired a new generation of activists wary of a resurgence of fascism through the activities of right-wing parties and movements (see fascism: Neofascism). [my emphasis] (3)
In the US, especially over the last decade, there was a rise in prominence of locally-based groups identifying themselves as “antifa” who came to be identified by a particular style:
Antifascism as a distinct political strategy (rather than as a generalized opposition to fascism) is based on several key assumptions. These include the observations that fascist groups typically attempt to utilize the freedoms of liberal democracy—such as freedom of speech and association—to gain enough power to eventually deny the same freedoms to others and that those struggling against fascism should not wait until this denial is realized to militantly resist it. Antifa tactics therefore include “deplatforming” fascists—that is, using both public pressure and physical disruption to prevent fascist opponents from organizing or promoting their own beliefs. In recent times, antifa members have also engaged in doxing, or the sharing of private information about opponents online. This tactic is often used to publicly shame opponents who engage in anonymous online political activity and to pressure workplaces to fire alleged fascists. Antifa has garnered much more attention for its property damage at protests, its disruption of right-wing events, and its targeting of specific right-wing figures, including the American white nationalist Richard Spencer, who was punched in the face in a videotaped assault in 2017. [my emphasis]
But the groups that are part of this political trend are not part of some central nationwide organization or some Jewish conspiracy funded by George Soros, as the Trumpistas like to pretend. And they certainly don’t have armed gangs on anything like the scope that we see on the Trumpista right with armed groups like the Proud Boys, who Trump famously embraced with his message to them: “Proud Boys, stand back and stand by!” [my emphasis] (4)

Of course, that was a few years ago. Now the Proud Boy types have an opportunity to become ICE agents and get paid by the federal government to indulge in violence and lawless mayhem.

Notes:

(1) Trump just hosted an ‘Antifa roundtable’ at the White House ... it was so much worse than you’re imagining. The Independent 10/08/2025. <https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/trump-antifa-portland-pam-bondi-posobiec-b2842048.html> (Accessed: 2025-09-10).

(2) Trump Panel Admits Antifa Fought Actual Nazis. The Majority Report YouTube channel 10/11/2025. <https://youtu.be/si5GQmSCpFY?si=O0vgDlziaKbl7KJb> (Accessed: 2025-09-10).

(3) Kenny, Miles (2025): antifa. Encyclopedia Britannica 10/09/2025. <https://www.britannica.com/topic/Antifa> (Accessed: 2025-09-10).

(4) Pilkington, Ed (2021): 'Stand back and stand by': how Trumpism led to the Capitol siege. Guardian 01/07/2021. <https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/jan/06/donald-trump-armed-protest-capitol> (Accessed: 2025-09-10).

Music for democracy: Warning: "antifa" (anti-fascist) content

I came across this just recently. It’s pretty good!


There are other songs like this. For instance, this Woody Guthrie classic as interpreted by Nina Hagen:


I used to think this song melody was a bit corny. Somehow it doesn’t sound so dorky any more.


That was “woke” long before conservatives decided that being asleep was the only way people should be. It uses American symbolism for aspirational democracy at the same time acknowledging the gritty ugliness that has also be part of “America.”

Notes:

(1) The F-Word | Folk Protest Song Against Trump, MAGA, and Fascism. The Resistance YouTube channel 09/20/2025. <https://youtu.be/yJnvKkFcCzU?si=z7KjVH9pQTGjn3tz> (Accessed: 2025-13-10).

(2) All You Fascists Bound to Lose. Nina Hagen YouTube channel 07/19/2023. <https://youtu.be/FMDgqMdpBMs?si=MzUbIJrN9XUir0UB> (Accessed: 2025-13-10).

(3) John Kay & Steppenwolf-Monster/Suicide/America. Beto de Leon/Corazon Concerrts YouTube channel 04/08/2020. <https://youtu.be/F61y8J0U0n4?si=fq4FkZk2WwKUq7Vq> (Accessed: 2025-13-10).

Tuesday, October 14, 2025

A brief but welcome break in the Gaza genocide

The current pause in most active combat in Gaza along with the hostage-and-prisoner exchanges just agreed upon are a welcome break in the violence. There seems to be little reason to imagine it will last long.

One reason is that the Netanyahu government is committed to continuing the ethnic cleansing in Gaza and the West Bank and moving to absorb the occupied territories into what supporters of that project call “Eretz Israel,” aka, “from the river to the sea.” That goal is officially endorsed by Netanyahu’s Likud party and his governmental program. But in places like the US and Germany, the use of the phrase “from the river to the sea, Palestine will be free” is often called an endorsement of genocide against Jews.

The hope for a “two-state solution” still has diplomatic currency. But it’s hard to see it at this point as anything but a zombie concept. Israel controls the occupied territories and there is very little domestic constituency for allowing a Palestinian state. Israel rules over its own official territory and the occupied territories with a strong apartheid system. That can continue indefinitely. Or it can be replaced by a democratic state including both those who are currently Israelis and Palestinians.

Despite the triumphalism of Donald Trump’s bizarre reality-TV speech speech to the Israeli Knesset this week, the grand vision of a peaceful Middle East is still a long way off. (1)


Kyle Kulinski gives an irreverent and scathing description of Trump’s Knesset speech: (2)


Netanyahu’s commitment to continuing war also means that the neighborhood isn’t a friendly one, as Zvi Bar’el recently described in Haaretz: (3)

Bar’el writes:
[H]ope is not yet lost. On May 15, 2008, on Israel's 60th Independence Day, U.S. President George W. Bush gave a rousing, optimistic address to the Knesset in which he fantasized about the "new" Middle East.

"Israel will be celebrating its 120th anniversary [2068] as one of the world's great democracies, a secure and flourishing homeland for the Jewish people. The Palestinian people will have the homeland they have long dreamed of and deserved – a democratic state that is governed by law, and respects human rights, and rejects terror. From Cairo to Riyadh to Baghdad and Beirut, people will live in free and independent societies... Iran and Syria will be peaceful nations... Al Qaida and Hezbollah and Hamas will be defeated, as Muslims across the region recognize the emptiness of the terrorists' vision and the injustice of their cause."

A wonderful vision; we just have to pass the time until 2068. [my emphasis]
Visions are necessary. Concrete arrangements for peace are infinitely better.

Notes:

(1) Scott Lucas analyses President Trump's peace deal as 'nothing more than a cynical move'. Times Radio YouTube channel 10/13/2025. <https://youtu.be/cxHtM9cttgE?si=e9iJ0ssLyJwd5N6T> (Accessed: 2025-14-10).

(2) Breaking: Trump Protested in Israel: Begs for Bibi Pardon; Brags About War Crimes. Secular Talk YouTube channel 10/13/2025. <https://youtu.be/aUyJHn2akkM?si=5EAdF-2E56FdKNTx> (Accessed: 2025-14-10).

(3) Bar’el, Zvi (2025): How Netanyahu's Mideast 'Map of Opportunities' Is Turning Into Israel's Map of Threats Two Years After October 7. Haaretz 10/06/2025. <https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2025-10-06/ty-article-magazine/.premium/how-netanyahus-mideast-map-of-opportunities-is-turning-into-israels-map-of-threats/00000199-b91a-d9d3-ab9b-fbdb05bc0000?gift=4942310067fd43d0b130ab794cd880e5> (Accessed: 2025-14-10).

Monday, October 13, 2025

Two takes on the state of the development of authoritarianism in the US – one of them clear and urgent, the other from Barack Obama

Philosopher Jason Stanley, an authority on fascism and a critic of current authoritarian trends in democracies, gives a succinct and clear diagnosis of the current state of the fascist process the Trump 2.0 Administration is currently pursuing. (1)


Stanley is pointing to real threats to democracy and calling clearly for serious efforts to counter them.

Here is a longer discussion that former President Barack Obama held for his Obama Foundation. It’s three times as long as Stanley’s 10-minute interview and has only a fraction of the substance of Stanley’s. (2)


The focus of their discussion there is Hungary and Poland, with activists affiliated with the foundation discussing the situation in those countries in broad language. Just after 11:00, Obama himself has this to say:
Well, see if I'm hearing some of the themes that you're talking about correctly,

The way I describe it is that the liberal democratic market-based order that was dominant post World War II in what was then called the West, and then, subsequently, after the fall of the Iron Curtain, then spread throughout Europe.

A big challenge is that the governments themselves, whether center right or center left, we're losing touch with people and we're delivering on some of the basic hopes and dreams of people. And so you get frustrated with government, period. That obviously then opens the door for right-wing populism, anti-immigrant sentiment, anger, grievances

And so what I'm hearing is that - and you see this a little bit [sic!] in the United States, this promise to go back to the way things were. But you might win an election, but you're not going to win a majority to really move forward, unless you're able to address some of the failures of the old system. Right?
During his first term in office, Obama pushed for a Grand Bargain in which Democrats would make permanent cuts to Social Security and Medicare in exchange for Republicans agreeing to increases in tax on the wealthiest – increases that Obama knew very well Republicans would reverse at their first opportunity.

He continues:
So that's one big piece of business. 
And the second thing is that how we engage people in this new era with social media and with huge gaps in wealth and the complexities of the modern economy, people feel as if they don't have control and they feel as if their politicians often don't have control over all the different forces there. And we haven't figured out, alright, what are the new forms of participation that can engage people and make them feel empowered so that when they act, it's going to make a difference for them and their families.

And then the last thing, which is the point you made about working local. It's a broader principle, which is how do we rebuild social trust? Because the thing we've learned is social media is very good at making people fearful of or angry about those who don't agree with them. What we haven't figured out is how do we get people to be able to work together despite not agreeing on everything?
Actually, Obama’s remarkably successful 2008 Presidential campaign’s Obama for America organization was based on a community-organizing model directed by Marshall Ganz, a former senior organizer for the United Farm Workers. (He discussed the UFW experience in a 2009 book, Why David Sometimes Wins: Strategy, Leadership, and the California Agricultural Movement.)

His 2008 campaign actually did bring a diverse coalition together to elect the first African-American President. But after being elected, he folded the Obama for America group into the Democratic Party apparatus and abandoned the successful community-organizing mode. He also replaced Howard Dean as Democratic National Committee chair and abandoned Dean’s “t0-state-model” to reinvigorate the state Democratic Party organizations nationwide.

Obama continues:
But when you think of, alright, what would be the vision that you think could excite and engage people? When you think of, here are one or two things that make it difficult for people to have faith and confidence in government and the results of democracy.

And so as a consequence, if we fix one or two of these things, it wouldn't solve all the problems, but it would be a good step forward.
And he talks after 19:20 about his ideas on pushing back on authoritarianism:
You build good habits and you raise people's expectations about what's possible.

And that's the beginning of, then, that contrast creates the possibility at some point of transformation at the national level as well.
Yes, Mr. President, I think we can all agree that it would be a good thing to create “the possibility at some point [sic!] of transformation at the national level.” It was in 2008 that the Democratic Presidential nominee repeatedly invoked "the fierce urgency of now."

He continues, “But you have to break the initial cynicism that ‘everything's the way it is, and there's nothing that we can do about it’.” Kind of like the fierce urgency of now – without the fierceness or the urgency.

One of the panelists, Sándor Léderer, inserts:
And if I may add one, learning, I think from this 15 years of anti-democratic rule [referring presumably to Poland and Hungary], and also I think it applies a bit to what's going on in the US currently, is that politics has much more power than we thought.

So these guys actually exploit politics unfortunately for the worst, but they show that there is much more energy and potential into what a government can achieve if they want to do something. It's unfortunate.
Obama picks up on the point to make what sounds like a vague plug for the milktoast “abundance” agenda that Ezra Klein has been pushing lately, which comes down to bold reformist ideas like, uh, loosening local building codes.
It's an interesting question that I'm grappling with obviously because I'm watching what's happening now. And it goes to the point about not returning to exactly what was being done before, where things were stuck.
Here he’s referring to the political frustration that “things are stuck” under democratic government that contributes to the rise of authoritarianism. In the US, Donald Trump’s coming to power in the election of 2016 came after, well, eight years of Barack Obama’s timidly moderate Presidency.
The challenge we have, right, is that authoritarians can get things done just by breaking things. They hadn't shown themselves to be particularly good at building things. But they can tear things down, remove constraints on their actions, and empower themselves in a small group.

Now, in terms of being able to solve some of the big problems around healthcare or education, there, not so much, because that does require creating new structures. It is not just a matter of getting a cut and taking a piece of whatever is being done and making sure your friends are rewarded and your enemies are punished.

But I do think the insight it speaks to - if we are renewing, reforming, recreating a democracy for the 21st century, that some of the old impediments have to be cleared away. So, in the United States, for example, there will need to be laws that are changed so that action can be taken more effectively, more quickly to respond to problems in a lawful way.

But I think what we've seen is that when people are frustrated, they're willing to take any kind of action, even if it's unlawful, because at least there's a sense of, well, something's happening. And that's something that I think everybody has to internalize at this point.
It’s worth recalling here that Obama’s handpicked successor, Joe Biden, promised wealthy donors that under a Biden Presidency, “no one’s standard of living will change, nothing will fundamentally change.” (3)


To be fair to Biden, despite that stone-conservative instinct, he actually got more substantive progressive economic legislation passed than Obama did as President.

Obama is justly famous for his eloquence, although it’s only mildly apparent here. And all politicians try to frame their proposals in a way that different constituencies can understand them as being in line with their preferences. Like here; who’s in favor of preserving “old impediments”? Who’s against changing laws ”so that action can be taken more effectively, more quickly to respond to problems in a lawful way”?

But does that mean that the Democrats should flush the Senate filibuster rule the next time they have a majority instead of allowing a Republican minority to block important programs that will benefit large number of working people and not just billionaire donors?

But does that mean that the Democrats should flush the Senate filibuster rule the next time they have a majority instead of allowing a Republican minority to block important programs that will benefit large number of working people and not just billionaire donors?

Also, what the hell does Obama mean when he says “authoritarians can get things done just by breaking things”? Like what? What have the Trump/Stephen Miller/Gestapo Barbie crowd gotten done by “breaking things” other than, you know, hurting people unnecessarily, ignoring their duty to uphold the rule of law, laying the groundwork for suppressing votes, and staging S&M theater to give cheap thrills to Trump cult members following it all on social media?

The list of sad and/or bitter ironies in Obama’s history of appealing to voters with soaring rhetoric while delivering little of substance is a long one. Obama’s response to the Supreme Court’s reactionary Citizens United decision in 2010 that opened US election campaigns to practically unlimited floods of billionaire cash into election campaigns came during Obama’s first term. And as President, he immediately and rightfully criticized it.

But his only substantive response was to make a half-hearted attempt to pass a legislative fix. Democrats had a clear majority in both the House and the Senate in 2010 when the Court made its Citizens United decision. The effort failed, and the Democratic Party ever since has relegated the issue to a stock item on the e-mail fundraiser lists.

Joe Biden’s and the Democrats’ bill that would have remedied the Supreme Court obliteration of the Voting Rights Act also included remedies against the Citizens United decision. It won a majority in both Houses, but two of the most worthless Democratic Senators ever elected blocked it by upholding the Republican Senate filibuster against it:
The Freedom to Vote: John Lewis Act would address some of this, by ending dark money in elections and requiring full disclosure of campaign spending. It passed the House and had a Senate majority — as did an earlier bill just focused on campaign finance — but was killed by a Republican filibuster, this time aided, as we know all too well, by Sens. Joe Manchin (D-WV) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ). (4)
The filibuster is a Senate rule. It can be abolished completely, or suspended for a single vote, by a majority vote of the Senate. I’ve never believed for a second that Manchin would have voted to kill the Voting Right Bill if Biden had applied any serious pressure on him over it. And Sinema was such a flake that she would never have been the sole vote to block the restoration of the voting rights act if that other nominal Democrats Manchin hadn’t voted to kill it, too.

Obama himself always manages to sound eloquent and concerned. And, like in that Obama Foundation presentation, he tries to ruffle as few feathers as possible. That is, unless he’s scolding Democratic voters and activists for not embracing the most accommodating stance toward the Republicans on a given political issue.

I’m not at all sure that a vague message like the one Obama delivers there, calling for removing “old impediments ,,, so that action can be taken more effectively, more quickly to respond to problems in a lawful way,” is received by almost anyone, certainly not by serious Democratic reform activists, as anything other than a call for passivity and resignation, one that will not generate confidence in the Democrats’ ability to meet the moment.

I would much rather see him warning people that the Republicans want to suppress voting in Democratic precincts in 2026 by using soldiers and masked ICE agents to intimidate voters in old-fashioned Southern-segregation style. And reminding cops and soldiers that they are obligated to disobey illegal orders. Calling for useful reforms like Medicare for All would be a good idea, too. But it’s hard to even imagine Obama the Stalwart Moderate ever endorsing such a thing.

Notes:

(1) ‘A coup is happening’: A new warning against Trump’s authoritarian slide. MSNBC YouTube channel 10/12/2025. <https://youtu.be/mk3Dzq7AptI?si=02HpAoge0fR_BVgu> (Accessed: 2025-12-10).

(2) How to stop authoritarianism across the globe: a conversation with President Obama. Obama Foundation YouTube channel 10/11/2025. <https://youtu.be/gRNaIMR00Fc?si=K1e8Cd--3KZ8PXIG> (Accessed: 2025-12-10).

(3) Joe Biden 2020: 'Nothing Will Fundamentally Change'. The Late Show with Stephen Colbert YouTube channel 06/21/2019. <https://youtu.be/w_q2LBA38NI?si=fzYrsOUUFPuhiP3c> (Accessed: 2025-13-10).

(4) Waldman, Michael (2022): Obama Was Right About Citizens United. Brennan Center 04/12/2022. <https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/obama-was-right-about-citizens-united> (Accessed: 2025-13-10).

Saturday, October 11, 2025

Nobel Peace Prize winner and … golpista?

I don’t recall the awarding of the Nobel Peace Prize being a prelude to a regime-change war, aka, an illegal invasion of a sovereign country.

But the Nobel Committee’s decision to award the Peace Prize to Maria Corina Machado, the nominal leader of the Venezuelan opposition may be an innovation of sorts.

I won’t try here to rethread all the needles in the history of Venezuela from the last three decades or so. But it’s important to keep in mind the framework with which American policymakers view Venezuela. The most significant part of that framework is the fact that Venezuela has the world’s largest reserves of crude oil. And the Trump 2.0 regime, which idolizes climate-wrecking fossil fuels, is no exception.

Venezuela is one of the best examples of how oil resources are both a blessing and a curse. Oil-related activities are such a big part of its economy that it stunts and otherwise distorts other parts of the economy. Oil-related activities draw so many jobseekers that it has severely restricted Venezuela’s agricultural economy for instance.

Deutsche Welle gives this softball English-language report on report on Machado. Including an in-depth analysis of the situation by, uh, her daughter. (1)


The DW report soft-pedals the strong indications that Peace President Trump is preparing to invade Venezuela to overthrow its current government under Nicolas Máduro, who is rightly described as an authoritarian ruler.

The widely-used V-Dem Democracy Report of 2025 rated Venezuela in 2024 as an “electoral autocracy,” along with Hungary, Russia, and, yes, Ukraine, among others. V-Dem uses four categories, ranging from more democratic to less: liberal democracies, electoral democracies, electoral autocracies, and closed autocracies. (The Land of the Free and the Home of the Brave made the liberal-democracy list for 2024; where it will stand at the end of 2025 is an open question.)

As the leader of the opposition, Machado would be a likely choice to head a government to be installed by force by the Trump regime. She seems for the moment to be the Ahmed Chalabi of Venezuela for the neocons and Peace President Trump.

I always think it’s helpful to keep in mind that Venezuela has the world’s largest supply of crude oil. It’s possible that has little or nothing to do with the policy of the US or other countries toward Venezuela. (It’s also possible that I will soon see a flock of winged pigs flying by my window.)

Machado dedicated the Nobel Prize to Peace President Trump, saying she was accepting it in Trump’s honor. Whose government is giving strong indications that it is getting ready to do an actual regime change war against Venezuela, for which Machado seems to be the “Ahmed Chalabi” of the moment. (See link in comments.) The left-of-center Argentine paper “Página/12” just profiled Machado as the “Nobel golpista” (Nobel coup supporter) because of her role in supporting the attempted 2002 coup against the elected government of then-President Hugo Chávez. (2)


The Shrub Bush/Dick Cheney Administration supported that coup. (I’m sure oil had nothing to do with that, either!) It failed. Kind of like the plan to have Ahmed Chalabi set up a model liberal democracy in Iraq. Or the 20-year war in Afghanistan that ousted the Taliban government and ended up with, uh, the Taliban back in power.

But at least there’s the oil. And the Trump 2.0 Administration is very enthusiastic about those fossil fuels because, you know, windmills kill whales. Or, whatever this month’s favorite fantasy claim is.

Democracy Now! provides a more sober look at Machado and her politics: (3)


Notes:

(1) Could winning the Nobel Peace Prize save her life? DW News YouTube channel 10/11/2025. <https://youtu.be/vzx6nwMOv6U?si=YUTgz2uQxlIKcUR7> (Accessed: 2025-11-10).

(2) Majfud, Jorge (2025): Nobel golpista. Página/12 11.10.2025. < https://www.pagina12.com.ar/864760-nobel-golpista > (Accessed: 2025-11-10).

(3) 2025 Nobel Peace Prize for Anti-Maduro Leader María Corina Machado "Opposite of Peace": Greg Grandin. Democracy Now! YouTube channel 10/10/2025. <https://youtu.be/VYASIbq0EG0?si=vC-uUguzNbITRyld> (Accessed: 2025-11-10).

Friday, October 10, 2025

It Can Happen Here. And it is. (Warning: May include pro-democracy/antifa content)

Back in 2007, in the days before Stephen Miller as deputy President and Gestapo Barbie (Kristi Noem) as Homeland Security chief, pro-democracy “antifa” types were worried about some obvious tendencies that could lead to having a full-blown authoritarian (aka, “profa”) government.

One of them was Joe Conason. I’m re-upping here a slightly modified version of a review I did at the time of his 2007 book, It Can Happen Here:


Conason's book focuses on the governmental and partisan manifestations of the Republican Party's deep-seated authoritarianism. Though Conason is an investigative reporter in the tradition of I.F. Stone, his focus in this book is pulling together a coherent narrative describing the Cheney-Bush Administration's drive to undermine the substance of American democratic and Constitutional government while leaving the forms in place. He relies on the wealth of material already in the public record, much of which he has reported in some form in his regular columns. He makes full use of his knowledge and skill in describing the roles of key players without reducing complex processes to personality quirks or individual ambitions.

As a close observer of the major press dysfunction during the Clinton administration and subsequently, it's not surprising that his descriptions of the press' role in the Cheney-Bush style of rule are particularly vivid. He gives the following memorable picture of Fox News, which could almost serve as a definition:
Never in the history of American politics or American broadcasting has any media outlet been so closely identified with a president or a party as Fox News is with George W. Bush and the Republicans. Overseen by Fox News boss Roger Ailes [formerly a Republican media consultant], it is an inappropriate and journalistically illicit relationship that long ago crossed whatever normal boundary separates politicians and press organizations. ...

Fox News represents an innovation in the authoritarian mode: a fully dedicated mouthpiece for the state that is nevertheless unofficial and in the private sector. Such is the ingenuity of American capitalism, in the hands of naturalized citizen Rupert Murdoch, the News Corporation mogul who abandoned his Australian citizenship in order to qualify as an owner of American TV stations. Aside from profit, which only began to flow after almost eight years and roughly $800 million in estimated losses, the separation of ownership from the state affords much greater credibility to the propaganda message. (my emphasis)
The problem with American media reporting, though, is not restricted to the blatant partisans of Fox News and of what I called in 2007 “Oxycontin radio,” i.e., Rush Limbaugh and his imitators.

Conason skillfully describes how the toxic combination of lazy and compliant reporters, the extreme governmental secrecy that is a hallmark of Dick Cheney's style of rule, corporate media dominance, and actual government-sponsored propaganda have combined to cripple the functioning of an independent press that is a critical element of democracy. He calls attention to a trend in the Republican Party toward advocating overt censorship, still alarmed as were in 2007 about the amount of genuine journalism still being practiced in the US. He calls special attention to an article by Gabriel Schoenfeld, Has the New York Times Violated the Espionage Act? Commentary March 2006, which lays out much of the ideological justification for this next level of authoritarian media regulation.

Conason creates a useful framework in which to view the authoritarian tilt of the Republican Party under the Cheney-Bush Administration, from ideological organizations like the Federalist Society (which promotes corporatist legal doctrine) to the effect of having an atmosphere of permanent war. The latter is essential for Dick Cheney's program of authoritarian rule, because only with such a climate of fear and threat can the Cheney policies of preventive war, torture, massive spying and an Executive not bound by any laws completely supplant the legal and Constitutional practices of the old Republic.

The Cold War provided such a framework, too. And in his concluding chapter, Conason fills in the dots leading from the Nixon administration's police-state measures known collectively as "Watergate" and the Reagan administration's secret war program (which is best known through the Iran-Contra scandal) to the Cheney methods of authoritarian governance which permeated the Cheney-Bush Administration.

Conason argued that understanding the roots of the Cheney-Bush situation in the darkest side of the Nixon administration is important because "[m]ost Americans, even those who lived through the Nixon era, have forgotten the context - let alone the details - of the Watergate scandal." He also observes, "The parallels are striking, but the difference is that Bush, Cheney, and Rove, and the forces they represent, are far more developed and powerful than the Nixon gang ever was." (my emphasis)

Fascism is a process. There is a strong continuity from the Ku Klux Klan of the 1920s and earlier to the Liberty League of the 1930s to McCarthyism to Nixon’s government to Iran-Contra skullduggery to the odious Kenneth Starr to the Cheney-Bush War on Terror policies to the January 6 insurrection to our Trump 2.0 regime of today with its cruel and bizarre cast of characters. That’s why so many of us found it thoroughly cringe-worthy when Kamala Harris made Liz Cheney – who loyally defended her father’s war and torture policies – a major prop in her failed 2024 campaign.

I wrote in 2007 that though Conason doesn't mention it in the book, his analysis illustrated the need for something like a Truth Commission process after Cheney and Bush are out of power. Not only did we need prosecution of crimes committed - and there have been many - but we also needed a process by which the abuses of the Cheney-Bush Administration can be publicly aired and understood. We needed to make it far harder for people like Cheney and Rumsfeld, who learned their governing principles and style from the worst aspects of the Nixon administration, to come to power 10, 20, 30 years down the line determined to succeed where Cheney, Rummy [Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld], Karl Rove and the rest had prior to the first Trump Presidency failed. The criminal and antidemocratic practices of the Cheney-Bush administration needed to be thoroughly discredited.

Sadly, the Obama Presidency that began with clear majorities in the House and Senate and an implicit mandate for progressive reforms was more focused on sacred Bipartisanship and wanted to “look forward, not backward” when it came to criminal acts of war, torture, and rapidly developing authoritarianism.

Sadly, the Obama Presidency that began with clear majorities in the House and Senate and an implicit mandate for progressive reforms was more focused on sacred Bipartisanship and wanted to “look forward, not backward” when it came to criminal acts of war, torture, and rapidly developing authoritarianism.

You can always quibble about what is not said in even the most thorough book. Conason only gives attention to the phoniness of the "moderate Republican" scam late in the book, while his earlier mentions of that bold Maverick John McCain could leave an excessively favorable impression on those not familiar with the Maverick's rightwing and downright militaristic record. The book also only alludes to the role that segregationist practices from the Jim Crow era in the South play in the Republican Party's current authoritarian cast. But those really are quibbles about a book that provides a valuable understanding of the larger problem. (In any case, Conason himself examined those issue more closely in Big Lies: The Right-Wing Propaganda Machine and How It Distorts the Truth (2003).

One thing Conason did in the 2007 book that I hadn't seen done so clearly elsewhere is to describe how the Wall Street wing of the Party and the Christian nationalists managed to combine what on the surface may seem conflicting agendas. In the chapter he devotes to this subject, "The Corporate State of Grace", he writes, "The creative destruction of modern capitalism disrupts traditions and disregards family values." In theory, this creates a tension between the goals of Wall Street free-marketeers and Christian theocrats.

But he does a great job of explaining that, in practice, these seemingly conflicting interests don't create the Party split that Establishment pundits were constantly predicting back then. In fact, the corporate interests and the Christian dominionists have "an informal but clear division of labor". What not so long ago was commonly called Big Business provides the money, the theocrats turn out votes of Republicans. This division of labor also allowed some politicians to pass themselves off as "moderate Republicans" while actually supporting the theocratic agenda.

In the grim age of the Trump-Musk-Miller Administration, anyone who would still be considered a "moderate Republicans” counts as an “antifa terrorist” in the Trump 2.0 regime’s eyes. Note to those under 30: yes, there was once a small but identifiable group called "moderate Republicans.”

Many of the key Christian Right leaders are wealthy men themselves - few of them are women - and thus see their own economic interests as the same as those of corporate executives or investment bankers. "Whatever their differences, however, the religious right and the corporate right have much more in common", Conason writes.

Factional divisions can always cause problems. But the alliance of the stock market and the pulpit in the Republican Party was already in 2007 a long-term and stable one. In particular, Conason noted pointedly, "The Chamber of Commerce types and the Baptist preachers both hate unions with a special passion."


The title of Conasons's book is derived from Sinclair Lewis' 1935 novel It Can't Happen Here, which describes a fictional fascist takeover of the United States. Like all of Lewis' novels I've read - full disclosure: I'm a big fan of his - the decades-old historical context doesn't prevent It Can't Happen Here from being both entertaining and instructive. Elmer Gantry (1927) remains one of the best looks at American Protestant fundamentalism you can find. Lewis includes a fictional rightwing character in his novel Gideon Planish (1943), the Rev. Ezekiel Bittery, who gradually became known to a national audience:
And during all this time, the Reverend Ezekiel himself will, as publicly as possible, to as many persons as he can persuade to attend his meetings, have admitted, insisted, bellowed, that he has always been a Ku Kluxer and a Fascist, that he has always hated Jews, colleges and good manners, and that the only thing he has ever disliked about Hitler is that he once tried to paint barns instead of leaving the barns the way God made them.
A revival of interest in Sinclair Lewis' work would be a welcome development.

Conason himself has stayed on the authoritarianism beat. He published The Longest Con: How Grifters, Swindlers, and Frauds Hijacked American Conservatism in 2024. He is also the editor-in-chief of The National Memo and an editor-at-large for Type Investigations.

From Israel’s Gaza withdrawal in 2005 to the Gaza genocide of today

Most of the press reporting on the proposal offered by Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu will be treated for at least a few days, maybe a few weeks, as a hopeful moment, until the mostly likely outcome becomes too obvious to avoid: that this ceasefire deal is just another momentary diversion from the Israeli’s ethnic cleansing and genocide of Gaza’s Palestinians.

Über-Realist Stephen Walt gives this assessment of the prospects for the proposed peace plan for Gaza under which it would be put under the rule of board headed by Donald Trump with Tony Blair as colonial viceroy: (1)


Ryan Grim and Jeremy Scahill in this hour-long report describes the context and many of the major provisions of the plan. (2) The best that can be said about it at this point is that it doesn’t completely eliminate the possibility that it would lead to some kind of improvement in the current situation, i.e., that it’s something more than a PR diversion from the continuation of the genocide and ethnic cleansing that Israel is performing with full support from the US and the warmongering Trump Administration.


Former Israeli peace negotiator Daniel Levy explains the process that occurred in 2005 which appeared to many at the time to be a hopeful sign, the Israeli governments removal of the illegal Israeli settlements in Gaza, actually wound up being a framework that contributed to today’s disaster.
In other words, October 7 was seen as an opportunity to resolve the demographic question not by severing Gaza from the rest of Palestine, but by annihilating and expelling its population, before resettling the territory. We can only begin to grasp the scale of those killed and maimed, often with life-altering injuries; Gaza is now home to the highest number of child amputees anywhere in the world. And beyond the human toll, Gaza is being physically rendered to dust. These losses are transformative on a national scale, and fundamentally affect any consideration of a future for Palestine and Palestinians. (3)
Hardline Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, who was considered a war hero by Israelis, took that action which was widely perceived as at least a step toward a stable peace process. After all, it was removing illegal Israeli settlements, putting Sharon’s government at odds with the hardline rightwingers in the settler movement.

But Sharon’s primary concern with that move was to shift the Israeli government’s focus to expanding illegal settlements in the occupied West Bank. One of Sharon’s notable accomplishments had been inciting what became known as the Second Intifada (2000-2005), also known as the Al-Aqsa-Intifada. As Jimmy Carter described it:
In September 2000, with Prime Minister Barak's reluctant approval, Ariel Sharon and an escort of several hundred policemen went to the Temple Mount complex, site of the Dome of the Rock and al-Aqsa Mosque, where he declared that the Islamic holy site would remain under permanent Israeli control. The former military leader was accused by many Israelis of purposely inflaming emotions to provoke a furious response and obstruct any potential success of ongoing peace talks. Combining their reaction to this event with their frustration over Israel's failure to implement the Oslo Agreement, the Palestinians responded with a · further outbreak of violence, which was to be known as the second intifada. [my emphasis] (4)
Sharon was particularly focused on promoting illegal settlements in the West Bank to make any possibility of the West Bank being part of an independent Palestinian state. He and other Israeli governments have succeeded in that goal, even though the failed “Oslo process” was based on the idea of an eventual two-state solution with an independent Palestine. As a practical matter, an actual peace settlement would have to be based on what Netanyahu calls Eretz Israel, the area also known as “from the river to the sea.” In other words, it would have to be a single state incorporating present-day Israel, the West Bank, and Gaza. (There are also related considerations around the areas of Syria that Israel has illegally occupied, including the Golan Heights.)

Kenneth Stein in 2024 paid Carter what sounds like a compliment, though he very much meant it as a criticism:
By convening a global group of senior statespeople in 2007 that came to be known as “The Elders,” [Carter] created another megaphone with which to regularly chastise Israel and speak out on a dozen other matters. He clobbered Israel and its leaders repeatedly with unbridled criticism for settlement building, human rights violations, and the fraught relationship with Palestinians living in the West Bank, Jerusalem, and the Gaza Strip. More than any Middle Eastern leader or public figure anywhere, he spoke out perennially in favor of the creation of a Palestinian state and blamed the Israelis for not promoting Palestinian self-determination. [my emphasis] (5)
Levy describes the coldly cynical side of Sharon’s 2005 disengagement plan:
To understand the legacy of Israel’s Gaza disengagement, a useful starting point is to recall how Ariel Sharon himself defined the intentions behind the move in 2005. While ignored by his right-wing critics, Sharon explicitly stated that the unilateral withdrawal was conceived to offset pressure for a deeper pullback in the more biblically and strategically salient parts of the West Bank that Israel occupied.

Sharon’s vision for the Palestinians was one of permanent subjugation without political rights, modeled on the Bantustans of apartheid South Africa, which he had been impressed by during a visit in the early 1980s. “The disengagement plan is the freezing of the peace process,” Sharon’s chief of staff Dov Weissglass famously commented. “You prevent the establishment of a Palestinian state and you prevent a discussion on the refugees, the borders, and Jerusalem. Disengagement supplies the amount of formaldehyde that is necessary so there will not be a political process with the Palestinians.” [my emphasis]
And in Levy’s view, liberal Zionists in Israel used the occasion to effectively drop their commitment to a meaningful long-term peace process:
Indeed, the response of the so-called liberal Zionist camp sounds rather familiar: instead of building on the disengagement to push for a wider peace with the Palestinians, they emphasized the need to reunify Jewish-Israeli ranks. The era of tzav piyus (a call for internal Jewish-Israeli reconciliation) was ushered in, Palestinians be damned. This revealed the depth of the settler-colonial mindset that traversed most of the Zionist camp, where liberal politicians serially failed to question continued Israeli settlement and Palestinian displacement in the West Bank as a matter of principle, only objecting to issues of location and degree.

Perhaps it is a mistake to impute an excess of strategic brilliance, foresight, and patience to the settler movement. Nevertheless, in the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is king. In this instance, the national-religious settler class at least had a coherent ideology and a long-term strategy to back it up; liberal Zionists apparently had neither. [my emphasis]
Notes:

(1) Can a ‘one-sided, unserious’ US plan deliver peace to Gaza? Al Jazeera English YouTube channel. <https://youtu.be/TOYP9SbSAB8?si=GdoFkBCqwk2NGno_> (Accessed: 2025-05-10).

(2) Breaking Down Trump’s 20-Point Gaza Proposal. Drop Site News YouTube channel 09/30/2025. <https://www.youtube.com/live/vthE7EgUIcI?si=j2tO4quS0V-aaDPY> (Accessed: 2025-05-10).

(3) Levy, Daniel (2025): How Israel’s Gaza ‘disengagement’ planted the seeds of today’s genocide. +972 Magazine 09/10/2025. <https://www.972mag.com/israel-gaza-disengagement-2005-genocide/> (Accessed: 2025-05-10).

(4) Carter, Jimmy (2006): Palestine: Peace, Not Apartheid, 149-150. New York: Simon & Schuster.

(5) Stein, Kenneth (2024): Jimmy Carter’s Middle East Legacies. Israel Journal of Foreign Affairs 18:2, 206. <https://doi.org/10.1080/23739770.2024.2386757> (Accessed: 2025-05-10).

Wednesday, October 8, 2025

A highly informative discussion from Trita Parsi and John Mearsheimer on Israel’s regional policy

The second anniversary of the October 7 attack on Israel by Hamas has occasioned a number of reviews of the military and diplomatic situation in the Middle East.

In this one-hour presentation from the Community Alliance 4 Peace and Justice, Trita Parsi, the Executive VP of the Quincy Institute, and Über-Realist John Mearsheimer look at the regional politics of the moment around Israel and it’s continuing ethnic cleansing of Gaza. This is an unusually informative commentary, even by the high standards the two guests normally set. (1)



Their discussion of the Abraham Accords and Saudi Arabia’s view of them and of Saudi Arabia’s security partnership with Pakistan are very interesting parts of the presentation.

They also point to the larger strategic goals of Israel, particular they goal of turning Iran into a failed state by involving the US in a longer war with Iran.

Having watched quite a few hours of presentations by Mearsheimer, it strikes me here that he seems to be taking Trita’s analysis very seriously. He does a lot of interviews, and he clearly pays close attention to the level of analytical depth of his interviewers. And what we see here in his exchange with Trita is how two experts very familiar with the politics and the diplomacy of the region discuss the subject. With all the hot air being generated in these discussions, it’s particularly interesting to hear this kind of discussion.

Trita makes a policy-geek joke about the “realist” outlook that the two of them share by saying that, working from Washington, he finds it a bit harder than John to accept the concept that states function as rational actors. John responds by agreeing with Trita’s assessment that Israel often behaves in an irrational manner:
I think though what you're saying treat is that both the United States and Israel will behave irrationally because the story you're telling, right. is that it doesn't make sense for either Israel or the United States to start this war. And that was the point that I was trying to get at. This just doesn't make good strategic sense. …

So what [are] the Americans going to do? Americans going to do? Get into a strategic bombing campaign against Iran over the long term that threatens Iran's survival and puts Iran in a position where it's desperate and therefore it does shut down the Straits [of Horuz] and therefore does turn the dogs loose on Israel. It just kind of doesn't make sense.

But again, I agree with you. They'll do it. But I think what we're saying here, I mean, I think if you look at a lot of what Israel has been doing, it does not make strategic sense. The Israelis basically take their six shooter out every day and blow each foot off. It's really quite remarkable how foolish from a strategic point of view their behavior is. [my emphasis]

Trita describes Israel’s current strategy to pose as a latter-day Super Sparta as “embracing pariahhood.” “Pariahhood” strike me as a better description of Netanyahu’s current approach than “pariah status.” (2)

Notes:

(1) From Qatar to Iran: Regional Implications of Israel's Genocide in Gaza. Community Alliance 4 Peace and Justice YouTube channel 10/07/2025. <https://youtu.be/iQq4Xby1xAg?si=dFipydwzzYKOisdJ> (Accessed: 2025-08-10).

(2) The Oxford English Dictionary currently says that their “earliest evidence for [the use of the word] pariahhood is from 1907, in Oakland (California) Tribune.” <https://www.oed.com/dictionary/pariahhood_n?tl=true> (Accessed: 2025-08-10).

Tuesday, October 7, 2025

October 7, two years on

On the second anniversary of the October 7 attack that kicked off the current round of horrors in Gaza and other parts of the Middle East, I’m posting this recent interview of nearly three hour with Norman Finkelsteiin, who is not only a scholar of the Holocaust but also one of the leading scholars on Gaza itself. (1)


Finkelstein, to put it mildly, is no purveyor of the Israeli hasbara propaganda positions.

Here he describes a long series of events in the history of Israeli’s attacks on Palestine, some of which caused outraged reactions among many people in Europe and the US. And he explains why Israel’s alleged peace plans and negotiating frameworks have to be taken with extreme skepticism. The famous “Oslo framework” that was supposed to lead finally to a two-state solution became actually just an ugly pretense of diplomacy that did nothing but facilitate further Israeli atrocities and illegal annexation of territory.

Finkelstein caused outrage among reflexive supporters of any and all Israeli atrocities against Palestinians (or Syrians, or Lebanese, or Iranians, or Yemenis, or Qataris) in his analysis of October 26, 2023 in which he described Hamas’ October 7 “Al-Aqsa Flood” attack through an analogy with slave revolts in a short essay titled, “Nat Turner in Gaza,” (2) referring to the Nat Turner Rebellion of 1831:
Turner was demonized by Whites after his death, the honorable exception being the White Abolitionists. William Lloyd Garrison, editor of the anti-slavery Liberator, championed moral suasion to win the public over to manumission. Yet, whereas he stated that the “excesses” of Turner’s revolt could not be justified and he was “horror-struck at the late tidings,” Garrison conspicuously did not condemn the slave revolt. Instead, he railed against the hypocrisy of those who sang paeans to the sanguinary struggles for liberty then being fought out in Europe, but who fell deathly silent when it came to the enslaved, lacerated Black population in their midst.
Haaretz columnist Gideon Levy, two years into the current war, also calls attention to the fact that the Palestinians were in a desperate situation two years ago:
The Palestinian issue had completely dropped off the international agenda – another moment of peace with Saudi Arabia and the Palestinians would have become the American Indians of the region – and then the war came and put them at the top of the global agenda. The world loves and feels sorry for them. There is no solace for the residents of Gaza, who have paid an indescribable price – and the world may yet forget them again – but for now they are on top of the world. (3)
In the context, it’s clear that he means there that Palestinians’ dilemma has become a major focus of world attention in a way that it was not before October 7, 2023.

Local Call editor Meron Rapoport recalls:
Not even a week had passed since the Hamas-led attacks of October 7 when Israel’s (somewhat impotent) Intelligence Ministry, led by Gila Gamliel of Netanyahu’s Likud Party, published an official plan calling for the “evacuation” of Gaza’s 2.3 million residents. The army began implementing a policy of destroying entire neighborhoods to prevent the return of the displaced not long after, and this became its primary mode of operation starting with the so-called “Generals’ Plan” in late 2024.

The result is that Rafah and much of Khan Younis in the south along with Beit Hanoun, Beit Lahiya, and now parts of Gaza City in the north no longer exist, having been entirely razed to the ground and their populations squeezed into an area comprising just 13 percent of the Strip’s land. [my emphasis] (4)
Carolina Landsmann also knows that it’s important to keep in mind the longer-term dynamics that led up to October 7, which is not at all the same as condoning atrocities and violations of the laws of war:
There is no disputing the fact that October 7 was the fruit of Netanyahu's rotten policy. Why was it rotten? Because it lacked any shred of goodwill. Netanyahu maliciously encouraged Palestinian society to be driven to extremes in order to sabotage the future. There is a well-known parable that a strong society is one in which its elderly citizens plant trees knowing that they will not get to sit under their shade.

Netanyahu not only failed to plant a single tree, but also poisoned the soil so that even the elderly of the future will not be able to plant any trees in it.

Even if we assume, a baseless assumption in my view, that the present generation of Palestinians does not want peace, the role of a healthy leadership is to nurture such a possibility. When Israel declared that there was no partner, did it wish that one would eventually arise or did it just want to prove that there wasn't one? It didn't foster a leadership that could become a partner, but eliminated anyone with the potential for being one. (5)
She ties this to Netanyahu’s and Israel’s very cynical policy “of strengthening Hamas and weakening the Palestinian Authority, a policy designed to prevent any chance of a future agreement, even at the expense of warping our society and bolstering terrorism.” This was part of a larger Western approach to promote Islamist political groups like the jihadists in Afghanistan in order to pit them against leftwing parties and governments in Islamic countries that might be sympathetic to the Soviet Union’s foreign policies. A policy which survived the Soviet Union itself.

Omer Bartov in these two interviews from this year talk about how Israel’s actions subsequent actions since October 7 of 2023 constitute genocide, one that is ongoing. Democracy Now!: (6)


Middle East Eye: (7)


Notes:

(1) Gaza’s obliteration has been paved by US-Israeli peace proposals - Norman Finkelstein. Middle East Eye YouTube channel 10/03/2025. <https://youtu.be/wkraKVOAqOk?si=bEt4t6MJ3kAkxGlS> (Accessed: 2025-04-10).

(2) Norman G. Finkelstein (Accessed: 2025-04-10). See also: THE SLAVE REVOLT IN GAZA, and Bernie Sanders. Norman Finkelstein Substack 10/12/2023. <https://normanfinkelstein.substack.com/p/the-slave-revolt-in-gaza-and-bernie> (Accessed: 2025-04-10).

(3) Levy, Gideon (2025): Do Cry Over Spilt Blood: Generations Will Go by Before Gaza Forgets the Genocide. Haaretz 10/05/2025. Full link: <https://www.haaretz.com/opinion/2025-10-05/ty-article-opinion/.premium/do-cry-over-spilt-blood-generations-will-go-by-before-gaza-forgets-the-genocide/00000199-afd4-d5a6-afff-efdff5560000?gift=932c6ccd1b264ac9b8f7d70c7bfbf12e> (Accessed: 2025-05-10).

(4) Rapoport, Meron (2025): The Israeli right’s ‘time of miracles’ is over. The Palestinians are going nowhere. +972 Magazine 10/02/2025. <https://www.972mag.com/trump-20-point-plan-israeli-right-expulsion/> (Accessed: 2025-04-10).

(5) Landsmann, Carolina (2025): The Truth Trump Must Finally Acknowledge: Nothing About Netanyahu Is in Good Faith. Haaretz 10/03/025. Full link: <https://www.haaretz.com/opinion/2025-10-03/ty-article-opinion/.premium/the-truth-trump-must-finally-acknowledge-nothing-about-netanyahu-is-in-good-faith/00000199-a656-dc12-a5df-bf5f8d790000?gift=fbf0ef6b69444f84bfc534388e8ab8ec> (Accessed: 2025-04-10).

(6) I'm a Genocide Scholar. I Know It When I See It": Prof Omer Bartov on the Growing Consensus on Gaza. Democracy Now! YouTube channel 07/17/2025. <https://youtu.be/QfmW0AQWV5E?si=JnnKmNZBG5NCk0pS> (Accessed: 2025-04-10).

(7) Holocaust scholar Omer Bartov: Israel’s campaign in Gaza is genocidal. Middle East Eye YouTube channel 08/20/2025. <https://youtu.be/S_R2zk3BSnA?si=1Nuw4aWP-9QxfbAt> (Accessed: 2025-04-10).